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MHGC
MERCHANTS HOLDING CO SA
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a BUY-IF today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 08.20.2010 (12) days ago, when the stock price was 7.0700. Since then MHGC has fallen -8.06% .

A bullish pattern has developed and a BUY-IF alert is issued today. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bullish pattern. We will guide you through this process but the prime star of this game is nobody but you. First you must do your homework. A good starting point may be to keep an eye on after-hours and futures trading to get preliminary hints about the direction of the market. Related news, events, economic data, and the world stock markets should also be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of confirmation. You have to follow the next session carefully to check if these cases will hold or not:

The market opens with an upward gap, signaling a bullish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick with an upward gap is a valid confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or below the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick closing above the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start coming below the benchmark, avoid buying. Sell if you feel a definite tendency in prices to close the day below the benchmark.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big downward gap suggesting a very bearish day, and the day ends with a long white candlestick, but still closing below the previous day’s close. However, such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and in this case the closing price of the long white candlestick will be taken as the price of confirmation.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a black candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the BUY-IF alert remains valid, however without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long black candlestick. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert makes it (the signal) void and invalid.

We do not suggest any new short positions given the bullish alert. The short sellers should consider covering their positions if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal. Otherwise, existing short positions should be carried.

Data provided by:  End of Day Data

 
BUY-IF
6.5000
+0.2600 +4.17%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
White Candlestick
Bullish Kicking
Candlestick Pattern

Today a White Candlestick was formed. This represents normal buying pressure.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bullish Kicking Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. Though it is highly reliable confirmation is still recommended.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Stock Quote
Day's Close 6.5000
Previous Close 6.2400
Previous Open 6.2800
Change +0.2600
% Change +4.17%
Volume 117,221
 
Stock Activity
Day's Open 6.4000
Day's High 6.6900
Day's Low 6.3800
20-Day Close M.A. 6.8890
50-Day Close M.A. 6.7676
65-Day Volume M.A. 216,798
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal $100
Became
08.20.10 7.070    Sell 7,316
08.16.10 6.750    Buy 6,985
08.09.10 7.540    Sell 6,985
07.22.10 6.390    Buy 5,919
07.14.10 6.350    Sell 5,919
06.25.10 6.590    Buy 6,143
06.15.10 7.250    Sell 6,143
05.21.10 6.020    Buy 5,101
05.05.10 8.450    Sell 5,101
04.22.10 7.440    Buy 4,491
04.16.10 7.540    Sell 4,491
03.23.10 5.000    Buy 2,978
03.18.10 5.090    Sell 2,978
03.02.10 4.320    Buy 2,528
02.23.10 4.660    Sell 2,528
02.09.10 3.950    Buy 2,143
01.20.10 4.910    Sell 2,143
01.14.10 4.530    Buy 1,977
01.12.10 4.610    Sell 1,977
12.28.09 4.190    Buy 1,797
12.17.09 4.470    Sell 1,797
12.11.09 4.370    Buy 1,756
12.09.09 4.450    Sell 1,756
11.24.09 3.590    Buy 1,417
11.19.09 3.660    Sell 1,417
11.09.09 3.410    Buy 1,320
11.02.09 3.320    Sell 1,320
10.29.09 3.200    Buy 1,272
10.13.09 5.580    Sell 1,272
10.05.09 5.160    Buy 1,177
09.25.09 5.890    Sell 1,177
09.21.09 5.150    Buy 1,029
09.15.09 5.090    Sell 1,029
09.03.09 4.530    Buy 916
08.26.09 5.180    Sell 916
08.19.09 4.800    Buy 849
08.13.09 5.130    Sell 849
07.22.09 3.380    Buy 559
07.17.09 3.520    Sell 559
07.13.09 3.380    Buy 537
06.29.09 4.010    Sell 537
06.24.09 3.940    Buy 527
06.10.09 4.560    Sell 527
06.05.09 4.190    Buy 485
05.29.09 4.180    Sell 485
05.27.09 4.190    Buy 486
05.22.09 3.930    Sell 486
04.17.09 4.030    Buy 498
04.06.09 3.650    Sell 498
04.01.09 3.110    Buy 424
03.27.09 3.240    Sell 424
03.18.09 2.680    Buy 351
03.04.09 2.430    Sell 351
02.25.09 1.690    Buy 244
02.05.09 3.490    Sell 244
01.30.09 3.600    Buy 252
01.26.09 3.870    Sell 252
01.16.09 4.110    Buy 267
01.06.09 4.990    Sell 267
12.30.08 4.040    Buy 217
12.11.08 4.410    Sell 217
12.08.08 3.980    Buy 195
12.04.08 4.210    Sell 195
11.24.08 3.360    Buy 156
11.03.08 4.760    Sell 156
10.28.08 3.750    Buy 123
10.22.08 4.870    Sell 123
10.20.08 5.000    Buy 126
09.15.08 16.010    Sell 126
09.11.08 15.600    Buy 123
08.26.08 17.010    Sell 123
08.21.08 16.790    Buy 121
08.14.08 17.220    Sell 121
08.07.08 14.190    Buy 100
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