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Updated 11/20/2009  
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HTM
U.S. GEOTHERMAL INC
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a BUY-IF today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 11.04.2009 (16) days ago, when the stock price was 1.5300. Since then HTM has gained 6.54% .

A bullish pattern has developed and a BUY-IF alert is issued today. You will also see if we erred badly in our previous SELL signal. So a warning is in order. Confirmation in the next session means that the signal failed. This failure amounts to missing a significant bullish opportunity. You can, however, still ride on a back wagon of the bullish train by following the guidelines below. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bullish pattern. We will guide you through this process but the prime star of this game is nobody but you. First you must do your homework. A good starting point may be to keep an eye on after-hours and futures trading to get preliminary hints about the direction of the market. Related news, events, economic data, and the world stock markets should also be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of confirmation. You have to follow the next session carefully to check if these cases will hold or not:

The market opens with an upward gap, signaling a bullish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick with an upward gap is a valid confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or below the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick closing above the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start coming below the benchmark, avoid buying. Sell if you feel a definite tendency in prices to close the day below the benchmark.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big downward gap suggesting a very bearish day, and the day ends with a long white candlestick, but still closing below the previous day’s close. However, such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and in this case the closing price of the long white candlestick will be taken as the price of confirmation.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a black candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the BUY-IF alert remains valid, however without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long black candlestick. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert makes it (the signal) void and invalid.

Do not consider any new short positions given the bullish alert and the recent bullish momentum. Short sellers must cover their positions to prevent further losses, especially if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal, in which case we owe you an apology about the previous SELL signal.

Data provided by:  End of Day Data

 
BUY-IF
1.6300
+0.0800 +5.16%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
White Candlestick
Bullish Engulfing
Candlestick Pattern

Today a White Candlestick was formed. This represents normal buying pressure.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bullish Engulfing Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is not very high and it requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Stock Quote
Day's Close 1.6300
Previous Close 1.5500
Previous Open 1.6000
Change +0.0800
% Change +5.16%
Volume 369,951
 
Stock Activity
Day's Open 1.5500
Day's High 1.6600
Day's Low 1.5400
20-Day Close M.A. 1.5275
50-Day Close M.A. 1.5472
65-Day Volume M.A. 269,588
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal $100
Became
11.04.09 1.530    Sell 2,437
10.30.09 1.490    Buy 2,373
10.15.09 1.560    Sell 2,373
10.05.09 1.520    Buy 2,312
09.30.09 1.630    Sell 2,312
09.17.09 1.640    Buy 2,327
08.25.09 1.520    Sell 2,327
08.19.09 1.510    Buy 2,311
08.17.09 1.600    Sell 2,311
08.12.09 1.500    Buy 2,167
08.06.09 1.750    Sell 2,167
07.27.09 1.440    Buy 1,783
06.30.09 1.550    Sell 1,783
06.25.09 1.400    Buy 1,610
06.15.09 1.850    Sell 1,610
05.18.09 0.8600    Buy 749
05.07.09 0.9100    Sell 749
04.28.09 0.8200    Buy 675
04.23.09 0.8200    Sell 675
04.09.09 0.7800    Buy 642
04.06.09 0.8000    Sell 642
04.01.09 0.7344    Buy 589
03.16.09 0.8610    Sell 589
03.12.09 0.7800    Buy 534
03.09.09 0.8100    Sell 534
01.28.09 0.8768    Buy 578
01.09.09 1.050    Sell 578
12.29.08 0.4300    Buy 237
12.18.08 0.5000    Sell 237
12.16.08 0.4900    Buy 232
12.01.08 0.5599    Sell 232
11.26.08 0.4800    Buy 199
11.17.08 0.6801    Sell 199
11.13.08 0.7101    Buy 208
11.03.08 0.8399    Sell 208
10.29.08 0.7499    Buy 185
10.15.08 1.000    Sell 185
10.13.08 1.040    Buy 193
09.22.08 2.090    Sell 193
09.17.08 1.540    Buy 142
09.15.08 1.660    Sell 142
09.11.08 1.750    Buy 150
09.04.08 2.130    Sell 150
07.29.08 2.220    Buy 156
07.23.08 2.360    Sell 156
07.10.08 2.200    Buy 145
07.01.08 2.940    Sell 145
06.27.08 2.800    Buy 139
06.10.08 2.700    Sell 139
06.02.08 2.780    Buy 143
05.28.08 2.730    Sell 143
05.23.08 2.530    Buy 132
04.29.08 2.710    Sell 132
04.25.08 2.719    Buy 133
04.21.08 2.780    Sell 133
04.15.08 2.480    Buy 118
03.31.08 2.280    Sell 118
03.27.08 2.250    Buy 117
03.07.08 2.710    Sell 117
03.05.08 2.840    Buy 122
02.14.08 2.780    Sell 122
01.28.08 2.450    Buy 108
01.15.08 2.810    Sell 108
12.19.07 2.720    Buy 104
12.12.07 3.300    Sell 104
12.07.07 3.330    Buy 105
11.30.07 3.430    Sell 105
11.23.07 3.650    Buy 112
11.19.07 3.980    Sell 112
11.14.07 3.650    Buy 103
11.08.07 4.110    Sell 103
10.30.07 4.000    Buy 100
10.25.07 3.910    Sell 100
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