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FDML
FEDERAL-MOGUL CP
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a BUY-IF today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 08.30.2010 (2) days ago, when the stock price was 16.8100. Since then FDML has gained 1.61% .

A bullish pattern has developed and a BUY-IF alert is issued today. You will see if we erred slightly in the previous SELL signal. A confirmation in the next session may mean that we have underestimated the bullish power of the market. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bullish pattern. We will guide you through this process but the prime star of this game is nobody but you. First you must do your homework. A good starting point may be to keep an eye on after-hours and futures trading to get preliminary hints about the direction of the market. Related news, events, economic data, and the world stock markets should also be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of confirmation. You have to follow the next session carefully to check if these cases will hold or not:

The market opens with an upward gap, signaling a bullish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick with an upward gap is a valid confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or below the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay over the benchmark, go long. Any white candlestick closing above the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start coming below the benchmark, avoid buying. Sell if you feel a definite tendency in prices to close the day below the benchmark.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big downward gap suggesting a very bearish day, and the day ends with a long white candlestick, but still closing below the previous day’s close. However, such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and in this case the closing price of the long white candlestick will be taken as the price of confirmation.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a black candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the BUY-IF alert remains valid, however without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long black candlestick. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert makes it (the signal) void and invalid.

Do not consider any new short positions given the bullish alert and the recent bullish momentum. Short sellers must cover their positions to prevent further losses, if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal.

Data provided by:  End of Day Data

 
BUY-IF
17.080
+1.7850 +11.67%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
Long White Candlestick
Bullish Harami
Candlestick Pattern

Today a Long White Candlestick was formed. This shows that the prices advanced significantly from open to close during the day under strong buying pressure.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bullish Harami Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is low and it definitely requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Stock Quote
Day's Close 17.080
Previous Close 15.295
Previous Open 16.590
Change +1.7850
% Change +11.67%
Volume 142,459
 
Stock Activity
Day's Open 15.790
Day's High 17.180
Day's Low 15.610
20-Day Close M.A. 17.675
50-Day Close M.A. 16.257
65-Day Volume M.A. 138,138
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal $100
Became
08.30.10 16.810    Sell 7,165
08.25.10 16.590    Buy 7,071
08.20.10 17.550    Sell 7,071
08.12.10 17.720    Buy 7,140
08.10.10 19.300    Sell 7,140
07.30.10 17.440    Buy 6,451
07.27.10 16.850    Sell 6,451
07.20.10 14.590    Buy 5,586
07.16.10 14.910    Sell 5,586
07.02.10 13.570    Buy 5,084
06.29.10 14.760    Sell 5,084
06.03.10 17.050    Buy 5,873
05.05.10 18.740    Sell 5,873
05.03.10 19.020    Buy 5,961
04.27.10 21.230    Sell 5,961
04.20.10 20.520    Buy 5,761
04.16.10 20.370    Sell 5,761
03.31.10 18.180    Buy 5,142
03.25.10 19.160    Sell 5,142
03.23.10 19.160    Buy 5,142
03.16.10 19.680    Sell 5,142
03.08.10 19.590    Buy 5,118
03.03.10 19.860    Sell 5,118
02.24.10 16.220    Buy 4,180
02.17.10 16.400    Sell 4,180
02.09.10 16.230    Buy 4,137
02.04.10 16.940    Sell 4,137
02.02.10 16.600    Buy 4,054
01.12.10 18.930    Sell 4,054
01.07.10 17.950    Buy 3,844
12.30.09 17.370    Sell 3,844
12.08.09 13.540    Buy 2,996
11.24.09 14.550    Sell 2,996
11.17.09 13.940    Buy 2,871
11.12.09 13.190    Sell 2,871
11.05.09 12.300    Buy 2,677
10.26.09 12.550    Sell 2,677
10.05.09 11.840    Buy 2,526
09.24.09 11.370    Sell 2,526
09.22.09 10.790    Buy 2,397
09.14.09 11.580    Sell 2,397
09.10.09 11.530    Buy 2,386
08.26.09 13.110    Sell 2,386
08.19.09 12.390    Buy 2,255
08.12.09 14.730    Sell 2,255
08.05.09 14.070    Buy 2,154
08.03.09 14.130    Sell 2,154
07.23.09 11.350    Buy 1,730
07.08.09 9.280    Sell 1,730
06.25.09 8.940    Buy 1,667
06.17.09 10.960    Sell 1,667
06.04.09 9.200    Buy 1,399
06.01.09 9.900    Sell 1,399
05.15.09 8.010    Buy 1,132
05.13.09 9.270    Sell 1,132
05.08.09 9.510    Buy 1,162
05.05.09 12.370    Sell 1,162
05.01.09 11.150    Buy 1,047
04.29.09 11.330    Sell 1,047
04.17.09 9.810    Buy 907
04.15.09 10.250    Sell 907
03.12.09 2.890    Buy 256
02.24.09 7.480    Sell 256
02.09.09 6.140    Buy 210
02.05.09 6.050    Sell 210
01.23.09 3.940    Buy 137
01.07.09 5.060    Sell 137
01.02.09 4.310    Buy 116
12.23.08 4.200    Sell 116
12.17.08 3.730    Buy 103
12.01.08 5.280    Sell 103
11.17.08 5.350    Buy 105
11.11.08 6.040    Sell 105
11.07.08 6.170    Buy 107
11.04.08 6.440    Sell 107
10.30.08 4.180    Buy 69
10.15.08 9.530    Sell 69
10.13.08 9.650    Buy 70
10.08.08 8.700    Sell 70
09.26.08 13.030    Buy 105
09.22.08 14.880    Sell 105
09.12.08 16.030    Buy 113
08.29.08 16.620    Sell 113
08.11.08 14.650    Buy 100
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